Lessons from RAND's work on planning under uncertainty for national security
A cross-cutting analytic method: exploratory analysis -- The concept -- Making exploratory analysis feasible and convergent -- Start with a broad view -- Narrow the analysis for the study at hand -- Use multiresolution modeling -- Narrow to a test set of scenarios -- Use computational experiments fo...
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| Format: | UnknownFormat |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Santa Monica, Calif. u.a.
RAND National Defense Research Institute
c 2012
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| Schriftenreihe: | RAND Corporation technical report series
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| Schlagworte: | |
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Tag hinzufügen | Zusammenfassung: | A cross-cutting analytic method: exploratory analysis -- The concept -- Making exploratory analysis feasible and convergent -- Start with a broad view -- Narrow the analysis for the study at hand -- Use multiresolution modeling -- Narrow to a test set of scenarios -- Use computational experiments for scenario discovery -- Strategic planning -- Uncertainty-sensitive strategic planning -- Planning specific adaptations -- Capabilities-based planning and portfolio analysis -- System thinking in strategic planning for complex adaptive systems -- Border control for drug smuggling -- Counterterrorism and counterinsurgency -- Strategic forecasting and expert elicitation -- Acquisition management -- Deciding on whether to arrange for competition -- Reducing risk by taking risk -- Reducing uncertainty by researching the facts -- Scientific cost estimation -- Logistics -- Background -- RAND's 1980's uncertainty project -- Recent developments -- Manpower -- Crisis decisionmaking -- Issues of organization and implementation -- Organizing to cope -- Anticipating organizational behavior undercutting intentions -- Conclusions -- Appendix A: the more general literature. |
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| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references |
| Beschreibung: | XIII, 39 S Ill., graph. Darst |
| ISBN: | 9780833076618 978-0-8330-7661-8 |