Constructing global stationary seismicity models from the long-term balance of interseismic strain measurements and earthquake-catalog data
Dissertation, Universität Potsdam, 2021
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Sprache: | eng |
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Potsdam
2020
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Zusammenfassung: | Dissertation, Universität Potsdam, 2021 One third of the world's population lives in areas where earthquakes causing at least slight damage are frequently expected. Thus, the development and testing of global seismicity models is essential to improving seismic hazard estimates and earthquake-preparedness protocols for effective disaster-risk mitigation. Currently, the availability and quality of geodetic data along plate-boundary regions provides the opportunity to construct global models of plate motion and strain rate, which can be translated into global maps of forecasted seismicity. Moreover, the broad coverage of existing earthquake catalogs facilitates in present-day the calibration and testing of global seismicity models. As a result, modern global seismicity models can integrate two independent factors necessary for physics-based, long-term earthquake forecasting, namely interseismic crustal strain accumulation and sudden lithospheric stress release. In this dissertation, I present the construction of and testing results for two global ensemble seismicity ... |
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Beschreibung: | kumulative Dissertation |
Beschreibung: | ix, 83 Seiten Illustrationen, Diagramme, Karten |