Knowing the adversary leaders, intelligence, and assessment of intentions in international relations
Introduction 1. - Chapter 1 Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention 14. - Chapter 2 Indicators of Nazi Germany's Intentions and the Coming of World War II, 1934-39 44. - Chapter 3 British Decision Makers' Perceptions of Nazi Germany's Intentions 58. - Chapter 4 The British...
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| Format: | UnknownFormat |
| Sprache: | eng |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Princeton, NJ u.a.
Princeton Univ. Press
2014
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| Schriftenreihe: | Princeton studies in international history and politics
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| Schlagworte: |
Intelligence service
> International relations
> World politics
> Detente
> Internationale Politik
> Kollektive Sicherheit
> Entscheidungsprozess
> Internationale Organisation
> Bedrohungsvorstellung
> Geheimdienst
> Feindbild
> Analyse
> Beurteilung
> Abschätzung
> Geschichte
> United States
> Foreign relations
> Soviet Union
> Great Britain
> Germany
> Erde
> Deutschland
> Großbritannien
> Sowjetunion
> USA
> Geschichte 1934-1988
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Tag hinzufügen | Zusammenfassung: | Introduction 1. - Chapter 1 Theories of Intentions and the Problem of Attention 14. - Chapter 2 Indicators of Nazi Germany's Intentions and the Coming of World War II, 1934-39 44. - Chapter 3 British Decision Makers' Perceptions of Nazi Germany's Intentions 58. - Chapter 4 The British Intelligence Community's Assessments of Nazi Germany's Intentions 102. - Chapter 5 The Carter Era and the Collapse of Détente, 1977-80 114. - Chapter 6 US Decision Makers' Perceptions of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Détente 126. - Chapter 7 The US Intelligence Community's Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The Collapse of Détente 158. - Chapter 8 Indicators of Soviet Intentions and the End of the Cold War, 1985-88 178. - Chapter 9 US Decision Makers' Perceptions of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War 192. - Chapter 10 The US Intelligence Community's Assessments of Soviet Intentions: The End of the Cold War 224. - Chapter 11 Summary and Implications 241 Theories of intentions and the problem of attentionIndicators of Nazi Germany's intentions and the coming of World War II, 1934-39 -- British decision makers' perceptions of Nazi Germany's intentions -- The British intelligence community's assessments of Nazi Germany's intentions -- The Carter era and the collapse of detente, 1977-80 -- US decision makers' perceptions of Soviet intentions : the collapse of detente -- The US intelligence community's assessments of Soviet intentions : the collapse of detente -- Indicators of Soviet intentions and the end of the Cold War, 1985-88 -- US decision makers' perceptions of Soviet intentions : the end of the Cold War -- The US intelligence community's assessments of Soviet intentions : the end of the Cold War -- Summary and implications. " States are more likely to engage in risky and destabilizing actions such as military buildups and preemptive strikes if they believe their adversaries pose a tangible threat. Yet despite the crucial importance of this issue, we don't know enough about how states and their leaders draw inferences about their adversaries' long-term intentions. Knowing the Adversary draws on a wealth of historical archival evidence to shed new light on how world leaders and intelligence organizations actually make these assessments. Keren Yarhi-Milo examines three cases: Britain's assessments of Nazi Germany's intentions in the 1930s, America's assessments of the Soviet Union's intentions during the Carter administration, and the Reagan administration's assessments of Soviet intentions near the end of the Cold War. She advances a new theoretical framework--called selective attention--that emphasizes organizational dynamics, personal diplomatic interactions, and cognitive and affective factors. Yarhi-Milo finds that decision makers don't pay as much attention to those aspects of state behavior that major theories of international politics claim they do. Instead, they tend to determine the intentions of adversaries on the basis of preexisting beliefs, theories, and personal impressions. Yarhi-Milo also shows how intelligence organizations rely on very different indicators than decision makers, focusing more on changes in the military capabilities of adversaries. Knowing the Adversary provides a clearer picture of the historical validity of existing theories, and broadens our understanding of the important role that diplomacy plays in international security. "-- "States are more likely to engage in risky and destabilizing actions such as military buildups and preemptive strikes if they believe their adversaries pose a tangible threat. Yet despite the crucial importance of this issue, we don't know enough about how states and their leaders draw inferences about their adversaries' long-term intentions. Knowing the Adversary draws on a wealth of historical archival evidence to shed new light on how world leaders and intelligence organizations actually make these assessments. Keren Yarhi-Milo examines three cases: Britain's assessments of Nazi Germany's intentions in the 1930s, America's assessments of the Soviet Union's intentions during the Carter administration, and the Reagan administration's assessments of Soviet intentions near the end of the Cold War. She advances a new theoretical framework--called selective attention--that emphasizes organizational dynamics, personal diplomatic interactions, and cognitive and affective factors. Yarhi-Milo finds that decision makers don't pay as much attention to those aspects of state behavior that major theories of international politics claim they do. Instead, they tend to determine the intentions of adversaries on the basis of preexisting beliefs, theories, and personal impressions. Yarhi-Milo also shows how intelligence organizations rely on very different indicators than decision makers, focusing more on changes in the military capabilities of adversaries. Knowing the Adversary provides a clearer picture of the historical validity of existing theories, and broadens our understanding of the important role that diplomacy plays in international security. "-- |
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| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references and index |
| Beschreibung: | XI, 355 S. |
| ISBN: | 9780691159157 978-0-691-15915-7 9780691159164 978-0-691-15916-4 |